On-chain · sentiment

Bitcoin NUPL

NUPL — net unrealized profit/loss — measures the aggregate paper profit or loss held across all Bitcoin, expressed as a share of market value. It turns the same cost-basis idea behind MVRV into a sentiment gauge.

What is NUPL?

NUPL is market value minus realized value, divided by market value. When it is positive, the network is in aggregate unrealized profit; when negative, in aggregate unrealized loss. It is bounded and often split into named sentiment bands from capitulation to euphoria.

How it is calculated

NUPL derives from the same on-chain cost-basis data as MVRV, rescaled as a share of market value so it stays comparable across price levels. The page follows it as a daily series.

How to read it

Deeply positive NUPL reflects widespread paper profit and historically euphoric conditions near cycle tops. Negative NUPL reflects aggregate paper loss and has overlapped with capitulation. Because it is a share, NUPL is easier to compare across cycles than a raw ratio.

What it does not tell you

NUPL is slow-moving cycle context, closely related to MVRV, and can be biased by lost coins. It frames sentiment, not timing. Live values are in the authenticated app.

Bitcoin NUPL — FAQ

What does positive NUPL mean?

Positive NUPL means the network holds aggregate unrealized profit — market value sits above aggregate cost basis.

What does negative NUPL mean?

Negative NUPL means the network holds aggregate unrealized loss, historically overlapping with capitulation phases.

How is NUPL different from MVRV?

They use the same cost-basis inputs, but NUPL is expressed as a share of market value, which makes its sentiment bands easier to compare across cycles.

Is NUPL a trading signal?

No. NUPL is cycle-scale sentiment context, not a timing trigger, and is best read with MVRV and SOPR.